Export outlook depends on virus control

Wednesday, Sep 08, 2021 08:48

Workers at a textile company in southern Binh Duong Province. — VGP Photo

Viet Nam's exports may reach as high as US$313 billion by the end of 2021, a 10.7 per cent increase year-on-year, only if the country manages to stop the spread of the novel coronavirus, according to a report by the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

According to the paper, the Southeast Asian economy's exports in August took a hit, dropping to $53.7 billion, a 5.8 per cent fall from the previous month.

Major exports including agricultural products and minerals saw decreases while rice, one of the country's stronger exports, dropped significantly in both price (by 6.8 per cent) and quantity (by 14.8 per cent) year-on-year.

However, for the first eight months of 2021 Viet Nam posted strong number with a total export/import turnover of $428.8 billion, a 27.2 per cent increase year-on-year thanks to steady and robust growth during the first half of the year.

The US continued to stay at the top as Viet Nam's largest export market, buying goods and services worth up to $212.5 billion, followed by China, the EU, ASEAN, South Korea and Japan.

The country's most valued commodities including cellphones and parts at $35.7 billion (13 per cent growth year-on-year), electronics and computers at $31.3 billion (12.8 per cent), machinery at $23 billion (49.9 per cent), textile products at $21.2 billion (9.7 per cent), footwear at $12.6 billion (16.2 per cent) and wood products at $10.4 billion (41.9 per cent).

Imports have also been on the rise with the country's total imports at $216.26 billion for the first eight months of 2021, or a 33.8 per cent increase year-on-year. However, as exports traditionally climb in the last quarter of the year due to stronger demand for consumer goods, the country's trade deficit is likely to shrink by year-end.

Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Do Thang Hai said the fourth outbreak of the virus had hit most of the country's major industries and economic centres. Operations in factories and industrial zones that play important roles in the supply chain had been severely disrupted or even suspended.

"Demand in the global market has shown signs of recovery. However, whether Viet Nam will be able to meet that demand entirely depends on how well we manage the virus," he said.

The fourth virus outbreak has paralysed major industrial hubs across the country including HCM City and Ha Noi, Dong Nai, Binh Duong, Bac Ninh and Bac Giang. The outbreak has also triggered a large exodus of workers from big cities, which will likely result in a shortage of workers in the near future.

The ministry said it had been working side-by-side with businesses to work out how to find and penetrate new markets, how to take advantage of numerous FTAs to which Viet Nam is a party. — VNS

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